GUMINE MP, NICK KUMAN OR ALOTAU MP, CHARLES ABEL POTENTIALLY THE NEXT PM OF PAPUA NEW GUINEA??? POLITICAL ANALYSIS (from the inside)

The Prime Minister is pushed to a predicament to make two critical decisions within the next 48 hours. 1) PM must appoint an acting Prime Minister and (2) Prime Minister will do a cabinet reshuffle. As the PM arrest intensify, the lobby for the alternative Prime Minister is also gaining momentum. In the event the Prime Minister is arrested which may happen VERY SOON, the Deputy Prime Minister automatically assume the position of the acting Prime Minister. However before the Prime Minister is arrested he has the power to appoint an acting Prime Minister of his choice and that does not necessarily have to be a party leader. It could be any member of Parliament.

Sir J appointed Giheno as acting PM when he stepped down during the Sandline Crisis. Sir Somare appointed Sam Abal as acting PM when he took leave on medical grounds. Both acting PM’s were never party leaders. As you read the PM is pondering on who to appoint as acting PM while he faces his charges to clear his name. On the other hand, it is becoming clear that in the event the PM is arrested the Deputy PM Leo Dion will become the acting Prime Minister. It is now becoming very clear that THE PARTY is preparing to lead the alternative government in the event O'Neill is arrested.

The Party Executives and the Deputy Prime Minister have been very quiet since the issue of Paraka surfaced. They are probably working around the clock to have O'Neill arrested so that there would be a smooth transition of power. Once they get the acting PM, O'Neill would be history. While that is going on, there is a definite split in the PNC where the Morobe Block headed by Mao Zeming and Paul Isikiel are planning to remove O'Neill within the party ranks. From PNC office the split sees three alternative PM’s candidate emerging and there are all powerful prospects. Charles Abel is the most obvious because he has been quietly empowering MPs using the development budget.

As you read he is already campaigning to be the alternate PM and has discussed the issue with several high ranking officials of the ruling party as well as coalition parties. Mao Zeming is another front runner with the PNC Morobe block solid backing. Being a very close friend of O'Neill, he is a real threat for other contenders. The other dark horse is the leader of PNC members outside Morobe block who is no other than the person who challenged O'Neill for the PNC top post and almost defeated O'Neill. Going back he called the PM, "White Bastard". As the politics intensifies he still called the PM the White Bastard. He has got more political connections and is well positioned as another definite contender for the PM position. He is the dynamic Nick Kuman, member for Gumine.

The government is already split within and as much as they pretend that all is okay,,the lobbying behind closed doors is intensifying. The question is; WHEN WILL THE PM BE ARRESTED? The answer is SOON or VERY SOON. The transition has already begun and so much money is moving hands. While on that let me recap on some interesting FACTS. The deal between Paul Paraka and the Prime Minister brought to light few names who were directly behind it. The first name is the former Governor for EHP, Peti Lafanama who is a partner by shareholding with Paul Paraka. He facilitated the negotiation with another name from the PM’s office who is no other then our former journalist from The National Daniel Korimbao. These two people played a very critical part in facilitating the K71.8m for Paul Paraka.

They distributed the kickback or commission to all the players involved. Yet they are walking around freely while others who followed their instructions are arrested and locked up. These gentlemen should also be arrested and charged for their part as police widen their investigation. The Prime Minister Peter O'Neill, like everybody else, has his own ups and downs but that does not mean he is a bad Prime Minister. Most of what he undertook as PM are promising for a young and vibrant democracy. However the real threat he is facing is from within and those very close to him are waiting and praying for his arrest.

From the inside it is obvious that THE PARTY is heavily working with UNITED RESOURCES PARTY to have the PM arrested. Peter O'Neill knows very clearly that he signed and authorized the Paraka payments. The authenticity of his signature has been verified by forensic to be Peter O'Neill’s. He is buying time because he is uncertain about Paul Paraka reaction after the company went bust. How will Paul Paraka reconcile with Peter O'Neill when the police tie the principle of Paul Paraka lawyers with a cable tie and brought him from Kupiano into Boroko as a common criminal with a dirty rag stuffed into his mouth to prevent him from talking. O'Neill is holding a bomb in his hand and the longer he waits,,it will blow in his face. He needs good advice but none is forth coming as everyone closer to him are deserting him as you read in fear of his arrest.

Belden is not a threat but is creating a perfect diversion for the politics within to intensify. The country is waiting for Peter O'Neill to make the biggest decision in his political career. What O'Neill is scared of is whether the person he appoints as the acting PM will protect his interest, empire and wealth or not. As he is thinking the spark is closing in on the bomb and he is running out of time. Will he call for a Ministerial reshuffle??? At the moment he is not sure because he simply does not have the benefit of good information on what is happening around him.

While the opposition leader is getting the spotlight the race for the PM within the ruling party and coalition parties are intensifying beyond what he knows. If the PM wants to call for a Ministerial reshuffle,, William Duma and Don Polye will be kicked out as well as Charles Abel. He can then move up young leaders to fill these ranks and consolidate his government before appointing a deputy PM and move out to face the charges.

PNGBLOGS

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