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MOODY'S PLACING PNG B1 GOVERNMENT RATINGS ON REVIEW FOR A DOWNGRADE- PANIC STATION

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by MOODYS CREDIT RATING Moody's places PNG's B1 government ratings on review for downgrade Global Credit Research - 25 Feb 2016 Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has placed the Government of Papua New Guinea's ("PNG") B1 local currency and foreign currency issuer ratings on review for downgrade. The review for downgrade is driven by: 1. The impact of the further fall in oil prices on government revenue, fiscal deficits and rising debt; and 2. A likely structural shift to lower economic growth given the increasingly uncertain outlook for commodity-related investments. RATINGS RATIONALE RATIONALE FOR THE REVIEW FOR DOWNGRADE FIRST DRIVER - DETERIORATING FISCAL AND DEBT METRICS Lower oil prices and weather-related disruption to gold production led to weaker-than-expected revenue in 2015, and we expect pressures on revenue to continue through 2016. Although expenditure cuts in 2016 have been announced in respons